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  • mundada
    07-22 04:05 PM
    Excellent analysis and statistics...everyone on this forum has tried an analysis and all of them are very well done. I will thank vdlrao especially, he has provided some interesting links to statistics (which were very informative for me as I was not aware of lot of these numbers).

    The problem is this: We are all assuming that USCIS will work LOGICALLY...which is impossible for them!:p
    They simply can't do that...

    One additional thing, (at least what I think) is that there is missing statistics about labor sub cases (and plz dont start the debate whether labor sub is good or bad thing), cases stuck in name check for years, and very old cases (cases that came out of backlog elimination centers--remember, those were working in four shifts during the last few months of their existance).

    However, they HAVE proved the fact that they can not do even the RANDOM GC giveaway unless PD is in mid 2006 for EB2.

    So I do believe that they will assign the visa number to whichever case they can (and some other cases randomly) to show that they used all visa numbers and approvals will come to the LUCKY winners over next several months (just like what happened in last June, is happneing this Aug). Overall, it is not a bad news...really a good news.

    What will happen to PD in Sept VB? I guess, dates will probably remain the same or become unavailable, does not matter (as RANDOM visa giveaway fiesta might finish all in Aug or goes in sept, regardless, same numbers will be GIVEN AWAY and whether it happens in Aug or Sept does not matter much).

    In Oct 08, dates will retrogress...(OF COURSE!) but probably not too much (as vdlrao said); and I am also not sure what would be the significance of those dates (besides filing of 485) as USCIS usuallydoes not care about it; they will wait till the end of the next fiscal year...and that's when the title of this thread "EB2 WILL BE CURRENT IN A YEAR" comes into play...To continue their usual RANDOM giveaway, they will have to move dates to 2008 at that time (under most circumstances...and based on all the stats!)...Again, we can not stop thinking LOGICALLY and USCIS can not understand what LOGIC is..:D

    See, we need to understand, life is a Lottery. No place for Logic. USCIS LOVES lottery...after diversity visa lottery, they are also doing LOTTERY for H1 now, and one day if they like the idea of doing LOTTERY, for EB cases, they might throw away this all mambo jambo of EB1,2,3/PD/RD/ROW/IN/CH...and JUST DO THE LOTTERY!! After this post, I will go buy a California Lotto...;)
    Great man...

    you bring an excellent suggestion. USCIS should do lottery for EB and at least that would be more logical than what we have right now. Right now it is neither random nor logical. It is f$%^$% up!

    If your date is not current then you are not sure what is the probability of your date becoming current next month;
    If your date is current then you are not sure what is the probability of you actually winning the lottery;
    If your date is current and you do not win the lottery this month then you are not sure what is the probability that your date will remain current in the next month

    Best luck to all hoping to win this lottery!





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  • Dalai Lama
    01-24 01:14 PM
    He must had already saved lot of money in India, he will live like a king after 20 months.
    He should get 20 years of prison.

    Dalai lama from Tibbet





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  • nixstor
    07-03 06:34 PM
    Wish the Senators a Happy Independence Day in the mail ....

    Lets go guys its time to fill up those emails and fax machines .....


    Please try to understand who is a senator and who is a representative. While that might not make any difference to us, it is of great importance if some one happens to get on our forums. Rep Zoe Lofgren. Not Senator Lofgren





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  • yabadaba
    07-04 08:52 AM
    I am writing to you to ask for your support is covering one of the news item that seems to have been buried because the people impacted are Americans of the future and are not a vocal constituency.

    Skilled immigrants like Doctors, Engineers & Scientists have been paying all the taxes, following all the laws of the land and have been stuck in huge wait period of 3- 7 years to obtain green card.

    On 13th of June 07, USCIS announced that all these people stuck for years can apply for the green card starting 2nd July 07. Everyone spent 2 weeks & $3000 per person at the minimum towards Attorney fees, medical tests & other non-recoverable direct costs prepared the application and started to send it to USCIS starting 2nd July 07.


    In an unusual act of absolute disregard to the hardships and financial loss of these applicants, USCIS announced on the morning of 2nd July 07 that they will not accept any application for green card.

    A COMPLETE REVERSAL OF THEIR EARLIER POLICY THAT HAS 50 YEARS OF PRECEDENT.

    During the immigration debate you covered groups like NumbersUSA that have restrictionist agenda. The rallying cry for all anti immigrants was for people to come legally. We have come here legally but are mired in the bureaucratic road block because no one from the 4th estate holds their feet to the fire.

    Currently, Congresswoman Zoe Lofgren has asked Secretary Rice and Secretary Chertoff for answers. A number of lawyers have claimed this is tantamount to a scandal at USCIS since they have not followed the law. American Immigration Lawyers Association is in the process of filing a class action lawsuit.

    The media is the only voice for us to reach the law makers and the American public. During the comprehensive immigration reform we kept hearing that we need to have a national debate on immigration. We are here. We are suffering. We are waiting. Would not a debate on legal immigrants we a good place to start?

    Links for your research
    http://www.nytimes.com/2007/07/04/us/04visas.html
    http://lofgren.house.gov/PRArticle.aspx?NewsID=1808
    http://blogs.ilw.com/gregsiskind/2007/07/full-blown-scan.html
    http://www.usimmlaw.com/current_information.htm
    http://www.immigrationvoice.com

    Thanks

    Regards

    yabadaba



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  • smisachu
    06-16 03:58 PM
    On the Mark:)

    I am waiting in the line as well for GC or to be sent back home and personally, I want everyone to get their GC and don't agree with dilipcr. Kind of off-topic but I made this observation:

    IMHO simsachu's reasoning is sound.

    Your example is not the same as simsachu's. simsachu assumes there are way more "bad" fish compared to the good one's in the population. Hence you need to catch more fish to come across a "good" one.

    You assume the opposite (there are very few bad fish) and hence come to the conclusion that catching more fish would net you more bad fish (but way more "good" fish as well) as well. But given your assumption, it is puzzling why you want to have lesser number of GC's (if indeed that is what you are advocating, I haven't read all the messages in the thread) when you assume there are way more "good" candidates than bad.





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  • srikondoji
    06-26 02:17 PM
    That was an attempt to get an award for a fancy rumour.
    Yes, you can laugh.:D
    Is this a joke..let me know if i can laugh at this one.



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  • WAIT_FOR_EVER_GC
    07-21 02:13 PM
    Please for GOD SAKE understand that this is an immigration Portal.
    Not a fish market where we can discuss the prices of item at different stores.

    Please stop this Admin





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  • ita
    03-30 01:13 PM
    I didn't know Lord Rama was part of BJP's manifesto this time.
    You are so stuck with 90's. MMS brought economic reforms in 90's so he's reforms guy even though he didn't bring any in his current term.
    LK was Lord Rama guy in 90's so he is Lord Rama guy even now.Just check BJP manifesto this time.

    Santhan and the like(s)...I'm just breaking it down here...

    Like I said in my previous posts religion is played heavily by MMS govt (read as Sonia...I'm sure MMS is a nice person) 4000 Missionaries came to India in last 5 years.More 4000 may come if you give them chance.Now nothing wrong with it generally speaking (except that only christian missionaries were granted visas and Jewsih groups were denied visas) but something wrong if we go by your 'I'don't care if Sankaracharya is jailed,I don't care for lord Rama guys' attitude.

    Now these missionaries are setting up miracle boxes ,so far in rural areas, where poor people that drop their wishes in the box see miracles happening.Only hitch is entire family has to convert to Christianity.Yeah abuse of poverty.But there is discrimination (hoping that when you speak of poor you speak of poor of all religions)even in miracles.Some how these missionaries don't dare to mess with Muslim poor.So Muslim poor are left alone. Neither your MMS wrapped State does anything to alleviate their poverty nor these missionaries shower their miracles on them.

    BTW it's not poor and Sankaracharya alone there are also other religious(for now Hindu) leaders in their list(Satya Sai Baba, Mata Amritanandamayee, Shri Shri Ravi Shanker Maharaj and many more) Now what's common in them apart from being Hindu leaders they are also immensely into helping your favorite poor people (no conversions though,you don't want to believe me just check out Mata Amritanandamayee's social service camps not for just Hindus all over the world.)

    Now if a doctor doesn't get patients how will he survive?
    Same way how will missionaries conduct their business if the poor and needy are helped .It's assured State won't help these poor population.Those who are helping them should go to jails so their popularity gets a dent among the masses.(not that their service stops anyways) So you MMS wrapper is facilitating all this.

    I know too much stuff but our biased/bought media won't highlight these facts.Remember how A.P High court held media for setting up a 'media trial' even before anything was proved in Sankaracharya case?(nothing was proved till date but since you don't care let's not go there)

    So your favorite MMS govt was busy with such things so far.

    I know ignorance is bliss but know that bliss will not last long.



    I am not saying MMS is the best....but better than others. Do you believe the so called Left the savior of our country. I am not bothering who is ruling or not. My only worry - what is done for our future. I strongly believe Left was the speed bump to the development of the country. Mr.Advani dont have anything but Ram Temple. I hardly see any value in that. He runs his politics based on religon and Ram temple. Let him put the plan and vision for out future, to build stronger India....I will be the first one to vote for him.



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  • jkays94
    05-10 10:40 PM
    I see a lot of people discussing about Canada.

    Any inputs about Australia and life down under?

    Thanks

    I don't know much about Australia but I can give a sample situation. One could get Australian PR, live there for two years, get citizenship, apply for a job in the US and enter on an E3 visa which is renewable every two years and allows one's spouse to work.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/E3_Visa





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  • tikka
    07-03 11:19 PM
    http://digg.com/politics/Rep_Lofgren_Issues_Statement_on_Updated_Visa_Bulle tin

    http://digg.com/politics/U_S_Withdraws_Offer_of_60_000_Job_Based_Visas_Ange ring_Immigration_Lawyer/who


    IF WE GET 100 digs on the ny times it will stay on most popular for a while.
    Also, you can DIGG the comments!!



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  • GCAmigo
    02-14 12:24 PM
    Allowing anybody with an approved labour certification to immediately file for their 485 is clearly a bad idea given the constraints of the system as outlined by unitednations. We could make a change in our proposal so that only people with, say, a five year old priority date and an approved 140 could file for their 485 without a current priority date. oguinan

    a 3-yr deadline..as I just entered my 4th year of this endless pain..





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  • srkamath
    07-23 03:10 PM
    Legal, Thanks again. Also that is where exactly is the contradiction in analysis.

    In my understanding, they must apply any spill over to EB3 too. EB3 gets 28.6% of total quota (Including spill overs). If some one is sure that it is not the case, please correct me.

    If spill over was already applied and if EB3 will not open up again, then EB3 already got its share of spill over and EB2 also used up some part of that spill over, so only part of that spill over is left for the 2 months.

    If spill over is not applied yet, then EB3 should get 28.6% of what ever is spilled over to total EB quota. Hence EB3 should open up again.

    Please note that I am not making this complex. I am only pointing at complexities.

    The 28.6% does not apply to spillovers - it is only for fresh allocations. Spill over goes sideways first until all in an EB category are filled, then spills over to the next EB category where again it spills sideways first.



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  • acecupid
    06-28 07:08 PM
    I have never been so stressed during this whole GC process ! :eek: I hope dates stay current for entire month of July. God bless all.





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  • NKR
    02-14 09:17 AM
    Sorry for pasting the below post in the wrong thread, but I thought that people not residing in MI will have the tendency to by pass the thread that WD's post was in. I felt that we need to recognize and appreciate the efforts of people who worked towards this issue. If I remember right, Mark, WD and others took their time off to testify in state senate.

    Immigration Voice in Detroit News

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    http://www.detnews.com/apps/pbcs.dll...802140325/1008

    "One member of Immigration Voice, a group of foreign-born professionals in the United States, describes how he came to America in 1999 as an international student and was later hired on an H-1B temporary visa. His green card application has been pending for years. He has not visited his home country for five years and recently moved to Michigan from Missouri for work reasons.

    "My Missouri license will expire in days, and I can't get a Michigan driver's license. I can't walk 11 miles to work in this cold weather, since there is no bus service and I can't take time off to go to my home country" to attempt to obtain an "international" driver's license."
    __________________
    MI Chapter testimony in State Senate ( Driving License issue) - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lAcgeyjZ3qY



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  • unitednations
    02-18 08:29 PM
    start from the bottom as that was the first e-mail. I took off identifying information and financial info. for obvious purposes:

    -------------------------------

    Dear xxxx

    Thank you very much for your quick reply. I talked to the family and advised them that the best way to proceed is you the doing the ability to pay part. They are talking to some people to get the money together. I will call them back after 4PM. Can we pay by debit card, or check or money order? Time is of the essence because of the B2 expiration on 2/11/07. I have the labor certification, (the one I printed off the website, we did not get the signed one from them yet, but it is the same). I have the 2005 tax return. I need to get the bank statements. Can I fax those to you? I also have something like a financial statement for 2006. If the numbers don't add up, you can still help us?

    Thank you so much for helping us. I know you are very busy.


    xxxx

    xxxxwrote:
    Most CPA�s don�t do audited financial statements. Reason is that there is a lot of things from a regulatory point of view that CPA�s have to keep up with in order to do audits. For this reason, most cpa�s won�t do them.

    An audit is a big thing; it is not a small thing. I wouldn�t consider this as an option for you.

    If you want me to do the ability to pay part then it will cost $xxxx.

    I will need: Copy of labor certification, 2005 federal tax returns of company. Bank statements of company for October, November and December 2006. If the numbers aren�t the way they need to be then there are still remedies.

    xxxx


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    From: xxx
    Sent: Sunday, January 07, 2007 12:34 PM
    To: xxx
    Subject: RE:

    Dear xxxxx

    First of all, thank you very much for your help. It is really appreciated. I have been researching this subject and was not able to find anything valuable until I found your name. It is really great that you are helping these people.
    I know your time is very valuable but I forgot to ask you whether or not we have to get the 2006 December bank statement certified or just send the original? If the CPA is not able to do audited financial statement for 2006 (which I doubt) are you available to do it? If we do that do we still need to send 2005 tax return? (Labor was filed on 12/26/06 and certified on 1/4/2007. )
    You are the only one who can help us with this questions. I know you are extremely busy, but I am really trying to do this right for this family. They gave up everything in Hungary, (they made like $400.00 per month and life is more expensive than here), so it would be great hardship for them to go back. As I said they don't even have an attorney here. I don't know if that matters because most of them don't know half of what you guys know.
    Anyways please, let me know how to proceed.

    Thank you very much

    xxxxx



    You have to prove ability to pay from the date that labor was filed with state department of labor. Therefore, if you sent the labor in 2001 then you have to prove ability to pay for 2001 through 2006.

    Audited financial statements are very expensive and probably do not suit your needs (At least $5,000 per year). Every year has to show ability to pay not just current year.

    I can do it but it is pretty expensive. It will range from $xxxxx. You can give me a call with the details and I�ll let you know the chances of success.




    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    From: xxxxxx
    Sent: Saturday, January 06, 2007 7:26 PM
    To: ny.united@gmail.com
    Subject:

    Hi,

    I heard about you on one of the immigration portals. I am the employer and ready to file I-140 for alien worker. He and his wife are here on B2 visas.
    We are concerned about the ability to pay issue. I heard that you are the best on this.
    The instructions are not clear at all. Do you have to send 3 years of tax returns. 2006 is not done yet, can we send audited financial statements? What is an audited financial statement exactly? What if the company did not have enough net income in 2005 and 2004 but has it in 2006. Can you please help us? As the employer we are willing to help the worker to get the I-140 approved.

    Can you help us? Please, let me know and also how much do you charge.

    Their visa expiring soon, please respond A.S.A.P

    Thank very much
    xxxxxxxx





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  • srikondoji
    06-26 02:29 PM
    Closing this thread will not do any good.
    This rumour was in many minds up untill now. Now that we are discussing it openly, we are atleast clear in our minds about this issue.

    We atleast are discussing what USCIS could or coundn't do.
    Even my attorney has said that they cannot guarantee exact filing date per each case, even though mine was the very first application that went to my attorney's office with all documents ready including medical reports, birth certifictes. Such is the work load in my attorney's office.

    good luck to all.



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  • arihant
    06-27 04:07 PM
    why you stopped at 2001 ......go all the way to 0 for christ sake

    Christ is god's son! He does not need a Green Card or any other color card :D So what is the point of making it 0?:p





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  • snathan
    01-24 02:33 PM
    Just because one guy is pointing out fraud in H1b he is not anti immigrant. Can you call entire congress is anti immigrant just for passing TARP restriction unanimously? But still we are optimistic of getting support from congress for EB reform. 99% of H1bs will not be impacted by this memo if that is implemented properly. For example even if USCIS does not approve h1b because he is having multiple layers of H1b still that position will be open and that can be filled by H1b person who is placed directly. The person who impacted by this memo will suffer a few weeks and he will find another job. Basically it will not impact H1b program or H1b persons. Even after the memo many H1bs were approved with third party consulting. Can you tell any denial based on the memo? But I am seeing many RFEs for H1b applications without client letter. That is normal and no one complaints about that

    Do you mind to tell us in which category you got your GC?





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  • sammyb
    02-14 01:53 PM
    to close this thread and/or change settings so that no further new posts allowed... We have had enough on this ... it is now better to rest this topic in peace...





    sainwa
    08-17 01:32 PM
    has any one thought why did this happened at the same time when he is making a movie about a "Khan in US"?
    See the things behind. he made fool of every body , CNN, media, US Immigration, you and me and got a publicity which he could have not gotten by spending millions of dollars in marketing the films.
    and guess what? this was for free and he is in headlines in national news paper.

    I think he wanted this to happen to get publicity for this upcoming film, now see after this incedent you, me and all of us know about this forthcoming film and will be eager to watch it.





    nrk
    09-15 04:42 PM
    By seeing numbers, i am seeing a ray of hope with in one year i should hear some good news. Thanks for the R&D of all IV members


    Here are my Estimate of pending EB2 India case for give years

    <=2004 2000
    2005 10000
    2006 13000
    2007(july) 5000
    ==============
    Total 30000
    ==============

    This number is very close to Ron Gocthers number prediction a few months back (minus sept approvals).

    Collaboration on visa quota data/analysis - Page 6 - Immigration Information Discussion Forum (http://www.immigration-information.com/forums/general-immigration-questions/8419-collaboration-on-visa-quota-data-analysis-6.html)

    Pending as of 15 July 2009 145000
    EB2 50000
    EB3 94000
    EB2India (2.4/3.5 EB2) 35714

    We can use the LCA number and come close these numbers as well

    2005
    EB2 India LCA for 2005 = RIR (3000) + PERM (60% of 7290) ~ 7400
    Assuming 20% abandon applicant we get = 5900
    1.2 dependent per applicant give ~ 13000 I-485 applicantions
    Assuming 10% approved in 2008 and 10% rejected/abandon I-485 and 5% cross-charageability we get => pending 10000 pending I-485 application for 2005

    2006
    India PERM applications = 18000
    EB2 India PERM applications (60%) = 10800
    Assuming 20% abandon applicant we get = 8640
    1.2 dependent per applicant give ~ 19000 I-485 applicantions
    Assuming 10% approved in 2008 and 10% rejected/abandon I-485 and 10% cross-charageability we get => pending 13000 pending I-485 application for 2006

    So if we see spillover of more than 30K the date will move beyond July 2007.



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