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  • gondalguru
    07-15 11:09 PM
    Some one has done a very good analysis in this thread.

    http://immigrationvoice.org/forum/showthread.php?t=4285&page=107

    Here is copy and paste of the post by gcobessesed

    ----------------------------------

    Reading this post and the Ron Gotcher numbers, I see some answers for the pending India backlog number question and a silver lining for EB2.

    Quote:
    Originally Posted by drirshad View Post
    (Quoting Ron Gotcher) The CIS backlog does not appear to be as serious as I had been told previously. Rather than 600,000 pending employment based AOS cases, it is likely less than 400,000 pending cases.
    Quote:
    Indian applicants make up approximately 40 to 45 per cent of the entire employment based quota backlog
    Therefore, about 160,000 applications are pending for India!

    As we have seen before, EB3 and EB2 are almost the same proportion for India with EB3 being slightly higher. So, about 85,000 for EB3 and 75,000 for EB2 are pending.

    Quote:
    Mr. Oppenheim explained that while the Visa Office initially took the view that visa numbers had to fall down into employment third preference before the could fall across to the individual country quotas, but after further review, additional legislation, and consultation with Congress, they concluded that they have to allocate the fall across within individual preference petitions first.
    This means, EB2 will get all unused EB1 visas and EB3 will only get 1/3 of the total 140,000 employment based visas (and 7% per country) until EB2 becomes current.

    Also, because 40-45% of the applications are from India, we can assume 40% of the yearly EB1+EB2 *may* be applied to EB2 India. i.e. approximately 35,000 visas per year for India EB2!!!

    Putting this in perspective with the pending 75,000 EB2 India applications, we should see all of them approved in the next 3 years. i.e. If your EB2 India priority date is in early 2007, then your I-485 will be approved by 2011, which is fantastic!

    If you assume a uniform distribution of applications between Apr 2004 and Apr 2007 (say), it is straightforward to calculate when your date might become current in the next 3 years.

    So, according to this, the cut-off date for EB2 India should move towards end of 2004 in the Oct/Nov bulletin. If that happens, then the above argument will be validated.
    __________________


    I am very confident that EB-2 india will become current in about 14-18 months.





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  • dilipcr
    06-11 10:08 PM
    Dilip,i read your old post from 2003, indeed a roller coaster ride...remember good KARMA, you had tons of it man!!

    I am not a strong believer in Karma as Karma is something whose existence is determined based on the aftermath of success we achieve in our trials and tribulations. I hope that you people appreciate my opinion that geniuine people need not worry abt GC timelines. It will happen. I dont believe in the policy of these L1s getting GCs because most of them, if not all, do not fall under the superior skillsets category. In addition, they unabashedly jump the queue in terms of GC, flout rules and end up lowering the wages of the existing people. This was also the case back then in 2001.

    Back then there was a misplaced sense of security amongst these people working for these outsourcing companies that lower salaries meant guaranteed job security. Most of them never had the confidence in their own skills to venture out on their own. They preferred the tutelage and security of their firms. Their skillsets were run of the mill and so they continued diluting the IT wages. It is the same scenario repeating today wherein these type of guys are under the L1 visa. An insignificant minority among these may be talented but it is not worth the time spending to identify these cases. In my opinion, there is no need to feel sympathetic towards the people from these companies. I may seem to sound harsh here but if you think through my opinions you would realize that my opinions are in the best interests of preventing wage destruction for those working directly for companies n a H1B.





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  • chanduv23
    09-04 10:35 PM
    This MF doesn't even have minimum decency to just leave alone a Dead Man.

    Want to see his saint deeds on IV.....Look for handle "CHANDUV23" handle history.

    1..) This MF has been preaching about faking Resumes in his old posts
    2.) He suggested faking Exp letter to someone in trouble...
    3.) He openly has shown someones full name using his Admin previledges


    Look for all of "CHANDUV23" posts

    Want to see him...search for him in UTUBE. Search for "CHANDUV23"
    God knows what kind of idiots are given this kind of responsibility as Admin....

    U r insane. U r assuming stuff and spewing venom. U like googling people's ids ehhh and that is ur passtime.

    And for your kind information - I am not an admin, nor do I have any previliges. I can always write what I want, if IV thinks that I must not write something, they let me know. I do not have to come on multiple IDs like some of you do.

    For those who are angry with me - send me an email or post me a private message as to why you are all so angry with me.





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  • reddymjm
    10-01 10:04 PM
    Any one else sent emails lately



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  • tikka
    07-04 09:43 AM
    please continue Digging

    http://digg.com/politics/USCIS_Visa_scandal
    http://digg.com/politics/Rep_Lofgren_Issues_Statement_on_Updated_Visa_Bulle tin
    http://digg.com/politics/U_S_Withdraws_Offer_of_60_000_Job_Based_Visas_Ange ring_Immigration_Lawyer/who

    thank you





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  • alisa
    06-28 08:44 PM
    If USCIS do reject application without notice then we should file a big law suite...AILA will be with us..

    Sure!!!
    Nothing will come out of it.

    Whats the difference between God and USCIS?
    Atleast God doesn't think that He is USCIS.

    So, relax.
    In the worst case scenario, we will be no better off in July than we are in June.



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  • H1B-GC
    08-15 09:30 AM
    Seeing Sep 2008 bulletin I felt happy:). I presume in October 2008 bulletin the EB2 India/china Priority dates go back. But its a mild retrogression for a short span of time. After that the dates start catching up current again. EB2 India becoming current is inevitable.

    We need a legilation change for any considerable movement in EB3 India. I am presuming in the next two years there will be considerable changes in EB category immigration which directly relief EB3 India.




    mpadapa has given almost exact count on EB limit for 2008.

    http://immigrationvoice.org/forum/showpost.php?p=265989&postcount=90



    The Earliest Time the Dates for EB2 "might" move up again would be the February Visa Bulletin'09 as USCIS and DOS would Need atleast the 1st Quarter Data(Oct- Dec) to see the Visa Demand for the ROW Category in order for the Horizontal Spillover to India/China.

    Do you Agree Mr.Rao?





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  • ramus
    06-28 05:56 PM
    So this is very clear example where dates were current for June but they just came up on June 5th and asked to reject all other worker application..

    Now why can't they do fsame or EB?

    Do you know if they even accepected application that they got before June 5th.








    That was 5th June as per Oh's website and Oh's website was quoting AILA's memo.



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  • nixstor
    07-03 08:35 PM
    Can IV try for a Bridge Legislation ...................

    Tuesday, July 03, 2007
    Bridge Legislation Update

    HLG is still actively seeking Bridge Legislation. The purpose of the bridge is to provide a short-term fix to the current retrogression problem for Schedule A occupations. As many readers are aware we are one of the founding members of the Coalition to Improve Healthcare Staffing. The CTIHS is pleased to announce that in June it retained two prominent Washington lobbyists and consultants. The lobbyists are working 24/7, along with the AHA, to seek this goal.

    If any immigration attorneys and/or healthcare stakeholders wish to participate in this effort and contribute funds to the effort, they should contact Chris Musillo (cmusillo@hammondlawfirm.com).

    The biggest hurdle we have right now is general �immigration malaise� in Congress; no one wants to talk immigration at this point. Congress is on a short break for the American Independence Day. Many of the staffing companies and hospitals that make up the CTIHS have meetings set up with their Congressmen and Senators this week.

    Lobbyists are working 24/7. Are you kidding me?

    My ideal solution for this is to make this a hot button issue in the media and then try for legislation to recapture visa numbers and allow forwarding of visa numbers. That will help us go a long way.





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  • sparky_jones
    06-28 09:39 AM
    Matthew Oh has been known in the past to be a BIT of a sensationalist.
    Yes, there's no doubt about that. Although Mr Oh must be credited for providing us with valuable "insider" AILA information, he needs to tone down the manner in which he sometimes presents this information. This particular information is flashed as a "Special Red Alert", with very grim language on his blog. He should also have provided details on how AILA's liasion is working with USCIS to correct the situation, which is clearly a violation of regulation on the part of USCIS. Given the clear outrage over the lack of transparency in the case of the "other worker" category, what are the chances that USCIS will do this again, esp when it is against regulation?

    I won't be surprised if OH gets kicked out of AILA...for leaking AILA insider info (good for us), and for his sensationalism (bad for everyone).



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  • _TrueFacts
    09-04 01:19 PM
    Some more links on Corrupt YSR

    http://mboard.rediff.com/newboard/permathread/s/bnews2008apr03ap/RE_Good_job_by_chandra_babu_naidu_in_exposing_corr uption-3.html

    Tehelka - India's Independent Weekly News Magazine (http://www.tehelka.com/story_main41.asp?filename=Ne300509eating_the.asp)

    YSR's evangelist son-in-law triggers 'war of words' - Express India (http://www.expressindia.com/latest-news/YSRs-evangelist-soninlaw-triggers-war-of-words/421191/)

    what is the mistake of Andhra Jyothi? :: Politics :: Telugulo.com - Telugu portal, Telugu cinema, andhra news, telugu politics, andhra cities, hyderabad (http://www.telugulo.com/view_news.php?id=3810&limit=10&pg=2)

    Red Flag Hoisted on Satyam’s Lands (http://www.cpiml.org/liberation/year_2009/march_09/cover.html)





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  • conchshell
    07-29 02:41 PM
    I think the idea being circulated by the Ron and Murtys of this world that DOL pushed out the dates to get CP to use up the numbers that USCIS is incapable or unwilling to use seems to go down the drain I don't think DOL cares about 100 odd visas that much.:)

    Exactly .. that was the purpose behind taking a rough count of CP filers scheduled for GC stamping at US Consulates in India. With the data we have, Ron's argument does not carry much wait.



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  • grupak
    12-13 10:57 PM
    I advocate talking to policymakers, writing to them, and calling in on any talkshow on the radio/tv - where ever there is an opportunity.
    I am not sure if we can challenge the legality of the system. However, I do question the motivation behind this policy. It is morally and ethically wrong and does not make any economic sense. It is probably hurting the economy, if you get my drift. My thought is that it can be adressed by enlightening the very people who put this policy in place - the congressmen/women.

    Yes, we as IV are meeting lawmakers and lobbying, and media campaign too.

    Just discussing if anything else can be done.





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  • ashutrip
    06-26 01:57 PM
    out of context...but do u think dates will be current in august and sept...
    My labor in Atlanta....dont see it getting certified B4 August:( :(



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  • nozerd
    10-10 10:18 AM
    What happens when you loose your job on TN1 ? Do you get any time to look for another job ? Do you automatically convert to tourist visa or you need to leave and come back ?
    Are the 3 and 10 yr bar reevant for Canadian nationals ?





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  • Macaca
    02-18 11:49 AM
    http://www.businessweek.com/smallbiz/content/sep2006/sb20060913_157784.htm?chan=search[/url]

    An Indian has glorified Indians. How do you use this glorification to explain the behavior of 80+% IV Indian members and 60+% Indians in EB retrogression who have no interest in joining IV?

    The best looking answer looks like there is no correlation between the two. Indians remain glorified.



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  • msp1976
    02-18 10:33 PM
    In the past three years; I have seen an administrative assistant get sponsored as a skilled worker; a cook making $8.50 as a specialty cook at an Indian restaurant; 8 phillipinos getting sponsored as cooks with a wage of $9.00 at a restaurant; a convenience store clerk; (from reading administrative appeals decisions; i have seen a driving instructor, horse trainer, etc.). All of these jobs fit into a definition of "skilled worker" and share same eb3 category as professional.

    In fact I guess most of the April 2001 245(i) cases are also getting through the Eb3 category...I thought that they would get into the EB3 Other workers category with the 10 K cap........ I guess many of the cases you are referring to must be the 245(i) cases...


    As I remember, even when I came to US the first time in 2000, I was interviewed quite rigorously...They made me submit degree certificate and experience certificates and all...
    Cooks and driving instructors getting in on H1B??? That is news to me...





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  • thomachan72
    09-04 10:59 AM
    This is not contributing to anything. I dont think oposing parties in this discussion will ever come to an agreement so what is the purpose of carrying on. Please close this and lets concentrate on something else.





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  • abhijitp
    02-13 01:23 AM
    Per country limit applies to every country in exactly the same way. It doesn't discriminate between Chad or China. So, how is it discrimination? And think about it- in Olympics soccer/basketball every country can send only one team. Should China and India be allowed to send more teams since they have a larger population? We should try to increase the number of GCs.

    Do not evade the question, is it okay to limit the number of gold medals per country to 7% of all? Talk about athletics or swimming, not soccer. Do you believe there are "too many" swimmers from Australia or the USA in every Olympics? It just does not seem right... the quota system kills competitive spirit.

    As Logiclife said in his post, EB GC inherited country caps from Family Based GC program. They are inappropriate in an EB GC scenario, and should be removed, that's it!





    jsb
    06-03 04:24 PM
    All that is too complicated and it shows nothing except that USCIS is incompetent.

    But if we can prove that Country Quotas are discrimination and unconstitutional, that would be better and simpler. Supposedly the constitution says something like - "establish a uniform rule of naturalization" - and what is happening now is by no stretch of the imagination "uniform" and it definitely is discrimination and it goes against equal opportunity - http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Equal_Opportunity_Employment - which includes equal opportunity based on national origin.

    Laws you quoted are for US residents, not for those wanting to be US residents. Country quota, I believe, is more sensitive and difficult to change. Of course, it is not working for the original intent to not have people from a few countries making US as their home.

    Work-arounds, we are so familiar with such as AOS, EAD, H1B beyond 6 yrs, etc., are easier to get in. For the current situation, simple work-around could be to adjudicate a case when all is good except the visa number, and send an interim GC card until visa number is available. When visa number is available, interim card could be replaced with a permanent card. In a nutshell, replace EAD/AP with an interim permanent resident card, and replace it with a permanent card when visa number is available.





    BharatPremi
    07-26 04:09 PM
    I don't think there is any need to love any country, its just a place like any other. Within no time India has been divided into 3 countries (4 if you count Kashmir). The only important thing is to quickly migrate to the place you like most, everything else is a waste of time.

    Let me challenge you on the basis of what you wrote here.

    1) You wrote: The only important thing is to quickly migrate to the place you
    like most, everything else is a waste of time.

    Good Enough. No argument.

    2) You wrote: I don't think there is any need to love any country, its just a
    place like any other.

    Here I may not have a problem but Americans will surely have problem.
    They want such people from outside countries who are ready to be loyal
    to USA and ready to love USA as their future country.

    Upon identifying your IP Address and then Physical Address USA can ceratinly decide not to consider you as a candidate of Permanent Residency as you are challenging the base of this constitutional requirement for making you a permanent resident. :D What will you do then if USA gives you thumbs down?:rolleyes: :(



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