Saturday, August 6, 2011

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  • immique
    07-17 01:23 AM
    I don't agree with your arguement. Spillover can happen in any quarter and you don't need to wait until the last quarter for it to happen. with EB1 and EB2 being current, the spillover into EB2 I and C will start from November/December of 2008 itself

    Since no one knows how many of pre 2004 EB2/EB3 are pending for India or ROW, it is very difficult to predict where the PD would be at 2008 november. Whoever feels the numbers less suggests EB2 india PD would move forward, whoever feels the numbers are more suggests it will move slower.

    But this is what my assumption is USCIS/DOS would start will less number of Visas for starting of year, let us say 900 for EB2(I) on november 08. There is a possibility that EB3 to EB2 conversion, Missed out old PD cases etc would result in getting EB2 going backwards...This would be the case for first 2 to 3 quarters, even if it moves it would in couple of months.Again based on EB3(ROW) demand next year end EB2(I) may or may not move forward fast.
    One thing for sure spill over happens only during the last quarter, be it horizontal or vertical.

    But this years move would make some people lucky to get GC even if their PD is in 2006. Again this is all my assumptions..





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  • greencard_fever
    07-23 12:02 PM
    USCIS is already did the ground work required to Use up all the left over visas. I am assuming based in the following theory

    1) We have seen in the past in USCIS director interview ( i do not have the link for this) that USCIS and DOS is working closely ( This was lacking in the past) to approve as many cases as they can to use maximum VISA number.

    2) By looking at the approvals from last 4 months, who ever i know whose PD's were current got their GC's.This indicates that USCIS is working efficiently then it was before to Use up all the VISAS.

    3) Lastly i assume that DOS was moving the dates for EB2 consistently for last three visa bulletins and we all know that for August (last Quarter) it has moved by 2yrs+ (DOS and USCIS waited till last quarter to do this which makes more sense),I believe the reason behind this to use all the Visa Numbers and approve as many cases as they can.

    This what i am assuming by looking at the recent VB movement and GC approvals.





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  • swo
    07-13 01:28 PM
    And who rates Canada highly? That requires a different forum for debating but I am just giving you the hint that it is international scam to rate it high.. That is the subject of politics and we would not start debating that at least on this forum..

    More empty rebuttal from you. Quite remarkable.

    2007 rankings - http://www.citymayors.com/features/quality_survey.html

    2005 rankings - http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/4306936.stm

    UN Human Development Index 2006 - http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Human_Development_Index

    So. You see. While there are many criteria that would rank the US over Canada (and by the way, the economy of the last 5-6 years would NOT be one of them), there is plenty of food for thought for those that consider Canada as one option of perhaps several.





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  • saimrathi
    07-11 11:33 AM
    Very well written...

    The criticisms of this website are LAUGHABLE. The Economist's quality of life index has rated Canada and Australia the top countries on earth to live in, overwhelming, year after year after year after year!

    Vancouver, Calgary, Toronto, Melbourne, Sydney and Perth consistently dominate the top 10 cities in the world to live. 6 of th top 10?

    The index takes into account, cost of living, earnings capacity, safety, etc.

    Canada probably has one of the most rosey futures on earth. It has an abundance of resources, a tiny population and ironically, global warming is adding to its opportunities.

    Cost of living is actually far below that in places like NY and California.

    Health care, while not top notch, provides better care to more people than is likely to be found in places like the US. PARTICULARLY for people that are older and more likely to need it.

    Education is infinitely better. US Public schools are atrocious.

    Yes, taxes are higher. How do you think these things are paid for?

    As for the weather, well duh! :)

    Anyway, both countries have advantages. I love the U.S. and that's why I'm here. But don't let an inarticulate and unfounded set of ridiculous statements turn you off. do you own research!



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  • snathan
    05-01 04:45 PM
    The Pak Sikhs are being troubled by the Taliban whom everyone opposes and the Pak govt is doing nothing and hence India should raise a voice.

    The Tamils in SriLanka are not being opressed by SriLanka but by LTTE themselves ( using their own people as human shields ) . The Srilankan govt is trying its best to minimise losses while trying to rout the terrorist LTTE. India does not have any sympathy either for the Taliban or for LTTE. Both are enemies of India.

    Personally I hate the LTTE and their damn cause. Someone who would kill our PM does not deserve any sympathy.

    I cheer the brave SriLankan Army who will finally clear their country of this terrorist manace. I wish India had the same drive to remove terrorists from our country in J&K and elsewhere .


    Who told you this...do you know the history and are you sure the tamils are not opressed by the SL govt. Read the history before you make the comments.

    By the way I am not supporting the LTTE. Here the question is should Indian govt support the civilions or not. Given a chance the SL govt wants to wipe out the entire tamil community. Do not think it will not happen to you/us here tomorrow.





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  • harikris
    05-30 11:56 PM
    Belmontboy ..Thanks for the same ..as I said earlier any campaign should highlight the positive aspects of legal immigration ..fighting over EB1 misuse is not going to help. I am a prospective home buyer and in the last few months, I met 8 buyer / seller agents ..they are literally sweating for any business ...at the very least let us show the positive contribution that immigrants have for the housing and other related economy (which is massive in terms of $$$$$). I am sure everyone will agree that this is better than fighting over EB1 misuse and fighting amongst ourselves

    1. If there are half a million people stuck in the immigration system, atleast half of them would be Mr. Hiralal-types whose buying potential could be between 150K$ to 250K$. That's an average of 50 Billion $s

    2. If Mr. Hiralal-types bought a house today, that would dry out the foreclosure inventories for precisely one month. If all the EB immigrants were to buy a home, that would stem help for two months at the current supply rate of homes piling to the inventory.

    How would the policy-makers look at these numbers?

    Let's keep Hiralal's point as one of the several reasons for pushing for reform. But, the broader perspective is to reform the way the Govt. processes immigrant application. We should strive for permanent solutions - removing of country quota and make it true capitalist nature - let supply and demand dictate who can get in and how many can get in. If diversity is the reasoning for country quota, then India should be given 25 times 7 which is 175% because we are 25 counties put in one.

    Economic situations and foreclosures are all fleeting effects. While we can leverage on these facts our argument for reform should not be based on variants.



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  • pmb76
    04-02 05:31 PM
    What do you have to say about all well educated and intelligent bureaucrat IAS, IPS etc..

    Most of the so called well educated & intelligent bureaucrat IAS, IPS etc are bottom feeders and crooks. They are only there to milk the system dry and fill their own pockets. No offence but these so called IAS/IPS folks are te ones that have screwed the Indian democracy and given it a bad name.





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  • dskhabra
    01-13 02:01 PM
    One important point from the document: If employer can not directly control/supervise his employee's work and then H1B new petition/extension may not be approved.



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  • logiclife
    02-06 01:57 PM
    I dont think that you HAVE TO file I-140 within 60 days after labor is approved.

    --logiclife.





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  • hopefulgc
    05-29 09:25 AM
    Seems like Mr. charles is full of shit. He is sounding "informed" but i don't think they know what the real numbers are....YET. It showed inadvertently, when he said "based on the Eb3 demand for the rest of the year". Hello.. EB3 is unavailable.

    I mean what do you expect him to do when you corner him and start asking him questions. He is gonna have to throw numbers out there to make himself look informed and intelligent and on top of his game.

    The sad part is he is going to now set the VBs as he stated here to validate his erroneous statements.


    1. Employment-Based Visa Number Movement and Predictions



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  • katewill
    11-09 09:20 AM
    oh well, this is how i feel. "i should have studied more and started with EB2"
    rules are rules, fair or unfair.
    what have you done other than just waiting? ( i've been waiting too)
    while others changed jobs and moved on to EB2 and got GC in 6 month.
    maybe you can also search companies with sub labor.
    you could have done alot of things if you needed to, but you didn't. (i didn't either)





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  • meridiani.planum
    10-07 05:28 PM
    I have built a very simple EB2-I Visa predition model

    Making following assumption

    15000 new EB2 ROW I-485 applications
    12000 new EB1 I-485 applications
    EB4/EB5 use 70% of allocated visa (30% spillover)


    EB2 Visa Bulletin prediction for FY 2010
    Bulletin Quarterly-spillover Annual Spillover
    Oct-09 22-Jan-2005 22-Jan-2005
    Nov-09 22-Jan-2005 22-Jan-2005
    Dec-09 31-Mar-2005 1-Feb-2005
    Jan-10 31-Mar-2005 15-Feb-2005
    Feb-10 31-Mar-2005 31-Mar-2005
    Mar-10 31-Mar-2006 31-Mar-2005
    Apr-10 31-Mar-2006 31-Mar-2005
    May-10 31-Mar-2006 31-Mar-2005
    Jun-10 15-Oct-2006 31-Mar-2005
    Jul-10 15-Oct-2006 30-Sep-2005
    Aug-10 15-Oct-2006 30-Apr-2007
    Sep-10 31-Mar-2007 30-May-2007


    3rd Q spillover numbers are too optimistic. 2006 alone has ~20k pending EB2I. you are assuming whole of that, plus 1 quarter eachfrom 05 and 07?



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  • vdlrao
    07-22 01:45 PM
    Here's an Apr-2006 EB2-I approval posted today on Murthy forum:

    http://murthyforum.atinfopop.com/4/OpenTopic?a=tpc&s=1024039761&f=1474093861&m=8351049171


    Please post the priorirty date of EB2 India/China approvals along with the approval date information, in the following thread ,for EB2 India/china approvals from Aug 2008 bulletin released date(Jul 11th).

    I know they will approve pending EB2 India/China applications which they process even before Aug 1st 2008.

    Please post the approvals information in the following thread and update the IV Tracker so that it would be informative(helpful) for all of us.

    http://immigrationvoice.org/forum/showthread.php?t=20230&highlight=vdlrao





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  • trueguy
    07-23 12:27 PM
    Currently, there are about 400K EB AOS (including EB2 and EB3 and all countries) pending with USCIS. If USCIS works efficiently and doesn't waste any numbers then this backlog can be cleared in 3 years assuming demand for EB2-ROW remains the same.



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  • voldemar
    03-27 10:22 AM
    My Q' was, if it becomes effective on 27th April, will USCIS reject all pending cases ?It depends on wording in final memo. Nobody knows what is there. The only text we know is that was published for comments. There could be changes after comments period. Without changes all pending sub cases (without approved I-140) will be denied.
    Edit: It seems that Murthy doesn't agree with me :). Let's see.





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  • rajsenthil
    05-03 06:46 AM
    Here Some Arava became Sherlock Holmes II
    Unfortunately its a flop show.. I pity you dude..

    If you are not Sinhalese then you must be SAROJA DEVI :D
    I could guess this from one of your post :cool:



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  • ujjwal_p
    05-11 07:51 PM
    I saying it again, in this country even burning of the national flag is considered a form of protest.



    Dude, you are seriously delusional. The day you try that stunt with the stars and stripes you'll be on Limbaugh, OReilly, Hannity, Glenn Beck, you name it. I don't agree with them but will still love to watch that unfold on TV.





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  • chantu
    05-01 04:18 PM
    Guys do not get deceive by CON/UPA govt raising voice for Sikhs in Pak. They raised it because the next phase of elections will be held in Punjab, Himachal, Delhi and Haryana where there are significant Sikh population. CON/UPA govt does not care about Sikhs. They want to cover up for the mess they created because of Tytler issue.

    Also, why did CON/UPA govt did not raise voice when homes and temples of Hindus in Kazakhstan were destroyed.





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  • Jerrome
    05-12 03:56 PM
    Tamils live the same life as Sinhala and Muslims, if you're visited sri lanka you would see that. Schools are open to everyone within their respective distances, tamils conduct business same as muslims and sinhala. What you're discussing is something that happened when the country was given independance and the sinhala policy came into act. This is not the case anymore in sri lanka, if it was all the tamils in the country would have moved to the north where their so called saviors were fighting.

    Oops i may be living in a parallel world. I failed to see the people in yalpanam and triconmole living peacefully with equal rights.

    FYI i have been to SL twice(2003 & 2005) to colombo and yalpanam(Pls don't comeback at me calling me as LTTE).
    Have you ever been to yalpanam and triconmole while you were in SL.





    Aah_GC
    08-15 10:03 PM
    The system is working very well the way it was designed. As some one already pointed out blame it on osama bin laden. Not on the DHS

    Alrite bud, you win I lose. Most Americans still think Legal immigration is a rose-garden that needs to be revamped to their benefit. You do have a point about what-needs-to-be-done-should-be-done but that turns the very foundational principles of this country upside down.
    POE experience is rotting with time, most Indians with H1B don't walk that alley anymore fearing deportation and there is more to come with this attitude.





    Rb_newsletter
    01-13 03:52 PM
    THIS IS BIG AS 30-40% OF PEOPLE WHO WORK IN THIS CONTRY ARE RENDERING SOME KIND OF CONSULTING SERVICE TO THE CLIENTS. ALL DESI CONSULTANTS ARE DOOMED FOR GOOD.


    In this country it is not the H1bs alone do consultanting/contract. Many staffing companies are there, and even individuals have their own companies and go for contract jobs. I have seen many prefer contract jobs because they make more money when compared to full time. If American businesses got used with consulting/contract even without H1bs, then why this department do not want to accept the practice. Why should small consulting companies get affected?



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